Please forgive the thread title; I couldn't resist. ;)
So, if Bernie Sanders is the nominee, "conventional wisdom" among moderate Democrats is that he wouldn't be a "safe" choice because he's an avowed socialist. But if 2016 taught me anything, it's to not put too much faith in the conventional wisdom. The conventional wisdom going into the 2016 election cycle turned out to be dead wrong. It could be wrong this time too.
Or perhaps not. :con2: But either way, we'll find out the answer to that question if Sanders is the nominee. We may have to pay the price of 4 more years of Trump to find out the answer, but the question will finally be settled one way or the other.
The thing is: I don't see any of the other candidates as an automatic shoo-in either. So it isn't exactly a case of "gambling" vs. "playing it safe." The candidate that appears to be the "safe" choice may not be so safe, in practice.
I actually thought somebody like Steve Bullock would be safer (a Democrat who can win in a very red state like Montana), but Democratic primary voters were never very interested in Steve Bullock, or Hickenlooper. Of those that remain, I perceive possible weaknesses with any of them. None of them are really a sure thing anyway, so maybe it could be Bernie. Also, if you're worried that he's too socialist, well, he isn't really going to be able to get his agenda through congress anyway, most likely. It'll have to be more modest reforms.
So, if Bernie Sanders is the nominee, "conventional wisdom" among moderate Democrats is that he wouldn't be a "safe" choice because he's an avowed socialist. But if 2016 taught me anything, it's to not put too much faith in the conventional wisdom. The conventional wisdom going into the 2016 election cycle turned out to be dead wrong. It could be wrong this time too.
Or perhaps not. :con2: But either way, we'll find out the answer to that question if Sanders is the nominee. We may have to pay the price of 4 more years of Trump to find out the answer, but the question will finally be settled one way or the other.
The thing is: I don't see any of the other candidates as an automatic shoo-in either. So it isn't exactly a case of "gambling" vs. "playing it safe." The candidate that appears to be the "safe" choice may not be so safe, in practice.
I actually thought somebody like Steve Bullock would be safer (a Democrat who can win in a very red state like Montana), but Democratic primary voters were never very interested in Steve Bullock, or Hickenlooper. Of those that remain, I perceive possible weaknesses with any of them. None of them are really a sure thing anyway, so maybe it could be Bernie. Also, if you're worried that he's too socialist, well, he isn't really going to be able to get his agenda through congress anyway, most likely. It'll have to be more modest reforms.
Aucun commentaire:
Enregistrer un commentaire