samedi 13 février 2016

South Carolina and Nevada Primaries Thread

Just to start. Recent polls (and what quality)

SC(Republican) -customer: Atlanta Chronicle

Trump 36% (52% first plus second choice)
Cruz 20% (37%)
Rubio 15% (33%)
Bush 11% (26%)
Kasich 9% (20%)
Carson 5% (16%)

Pretty good, slightly against Trump.

Trump has equal support among white and black, but it drops more than a third with other racial groups (huge error margin in this last bit)

No other poll is recent or trustworthy (completely forget the Democratic poll for Nevada)


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